Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.722321 3.245027 3.814100 4.476361 5.222489 6.033743 6.979054
2026-02-01 1.878004 2.533628 3.312191 4.291530 5.476512 6.849976 8.547454
2026-02-08 1.326334 2.025273 2.928249 4.148605 5.721168 7.645330 10.140792
2026-02-15 0.963433 1.665988 2.651235 4.074555 6.014548 8.501645 11.859749
2026-02-22 0.772629 1.496498 2.588048 4.256585 6.637662 9.805472 14.218382
2026-03-01 0.586699 1.284474 2.419821 4.256874 6.998447 10.776599 16.195033
2026-03-08 0.404207 1.023020 2.121346 4.012719 6.972465 11.202353 17.449844
2026-03-15 0.283290 0.833140 1.897356 3.842068 7.021295 11.715878 18.832076
2026-03-22 0.238557 0.784993 1.910904 4.055164 7.666037 13.115105 21.516508
2026-03-29 0.212537 0.770918 1.983775 4.373207 8.493907 14.820279 24.705077
2026-04-05 0.183599 0.739475 2.015429 4.617524 9.213302 16.390184 27.751190
2026-04-12 0.143489 0.661664 1.936122 4.646585 9.571757 17.418427 30.029744
2026-04-19 0.100571 0.554905 1.774819 4.506286 9.641398 18.017584 31.720031
2026-04-26 0.070200 0.469261 1.640684 4.398840 9.754948 18.686518 33.538413
2026-05-03 0.048193 0.397161 1.520273 4.300055 9.870341 19.356456 35.375429
2026-05-10 0.033500 0.342612 1.430558 4.252204 10.071165 20.170336 37.460522
2026-05-17 0.027868 0.329664 1.454515 4.457988 10.761596 21.827821 40.930264
2026-05-24 0.019803 0.292497 1.396866 4.469113 11.075956 22.858144 43.425986
2026-05-31 0.010824 0.230578 1.240128 4.222000 10.861161 22.965444 44.428366
2026-06-07 0.005841 0.185907 1.122266 4.048299 10.773813 23.282140 45.772759
2026-06-14 0.004827 0.183155 1.158003 4.272310 11.518793 25.098622 49.644870
2026-06-21 0.004499 0.189763 1.232191 4.604588 12.506200 27.377128 54.336791
2026-06-28 0.003802 0.188891 1.276161 4.859544 13.341190 29.403525 58.648759